Research Journal of Biological Sciences

Year: 2009
Volume: 4
Issue: 5
Page No. 550 - 557

Risk Level in Broiler Production in Jordan Industry

Authors : Bassam Al-Deseit and Ali Al-Sharafat

Abstract: This study was conducted to determine the risk level in broiler industry in Jordan. Production risk is the random variability inherent in a farm`s production process. Weather severities during seasons lead to production risk in most livestock activities. Broiler production is not an exception. North, Middle and South broiler production regions in Jordan were investigated. To determine the level of risk according to season of production as source of risk in the 3 regions of broiler production in Jordan the probability distribution, standard deviation, coefficient of variation and the highest lower bound indicators for risk level were used; the indicators were so simple to be fully understood by both the decision makers and the local producers. The broiler producers net income considered to be the core element in explaining the risk effect. The results of the study showed that the northern and the Southern regions of broiler production in the country suffer from high and moderate level of risk, respectively. The middle region is with the lowest level of risk. These results derived from the indicators used in the study, the probability distribution curve of the net income of broiler producers under risk in the northern region is more flattened than the probability distribution curve of the net income of broiler producers under risk in southern region, which in turn more flattened than the one in the middle region. The more flattened curve the more risk level. The standard deviation of the net income values for the northern, middle and southern regions are almost 511, 261 and 424, respectively. The higher SD value the higher level of risk. The Northern region is with the highest SD, which means that this region is with the highest risk level since it is with the highest value of SD. The middle region is with the lowest SD, which means that this region is with the lowest risk level. The Southern region is in the middle of these 2 regions but it is relatively with high level of risk. The CV values are 0.36, 0.13 and 0.31 for the Northern, middle and Southern regions, respectively. These values are another indication of the levels of risk in the three regions. The higher CV the higher level of risk. The values of CV indicates the same results of SD. Regarding the higher lowest bound values, the lower HLB value the higher level of risk. The HLB value in the Northern region is almost 392 and it is 1470 in the middle region and 520 in the southern region. These values indicate that the Northern region is with the highest level of risk since, it is with the lowest HLB value, level of risk in the middle region is the lowest level in the three regions since the HLB value is the highest one. The Southern region is with high risk level but it is lower than that in the Northern region.

How to cite this article:

Bassam Al-Deseit and Ali Al-Sharafat , 2009. Risk Level in Broiler Production in Jordan Industry. Research Journal of Biological Sciences, 4: 550-557.

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