Abstract: The method of forecasting the results of the industrial enterprise activity functioning in the conditions of new paternalistic economy is worked out. This method is based on the assessment of current results of this activity on the existing tendencies of development, dynamics of macroenvironment of the economic entity and also a complex assessment of current state and prospects of development of the enterprise. All this have found their application in scenario forecasting the results of the activity of the enterprises of the Russian industrial complex.